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乏信息動態(tài)測量誤差灰自助預報
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國家自然科學基金資助項目 (10974115)


Error Predicting for Dynamic Measurement of Poor Information Based on Grey Bootstrap Method
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    摘要:

    綜合灰色系統(tǒng)理論和自助法的理論知識,提出一種實現(xiàn)乏信息測量誤差預報方法。首先對動態(tài)測量數(shù)據(jù)中各誤差源影響進行標定,計算各誤差源對測量結果的誤差傳遞系數(shù),并對各誤差源數(shù)據(jù)序列進行自助法抽樣,通過灰自助融合建模獲得誤差源標定預測值;然后按照誤差合成的方法實現(xiàn)動態(tài)測量誤差的灰自助預報;具體實例表明,該方法得到的預報結果與實驗測量結果非常吻合,驗證了灰自助預報方法的有效性。

    Abstract:

    Different from traditional methods, a novel poor information measurement error prediction method based on grey system theory and bootstrap theory was presented. At first, all calibrated measurement error sources were calibrated, and all measurement error transfer coefficients were calculated, and the calibration data of all error sources were sampled based on bootstrap theory, and predictions of calibration data of all error sources were gained by a grey bootstrap fusion model. Then the error prediction values for dynamic measurement of poor information were got in terms of error combination principle. At last, in an example of a general dynamic measurement, the predicting measurement errors were acquired by this novel proposed method and the actual measurement errors were shown to be in a good agreement with each other, and the validity of the proposed method was also represented.

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葛樂矣,趙偉,徐子帆,黃松嶺,王中宇.乏信息動態(tài)測量誤差灰自助預報[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機械學報,2011,42(7):210-214,219. Ge Leyi, Zhao Wei, Xu Zifan,Huang Songling, Wang Zhongyu. Error Predicting for Dynamic Measurement of Poor Information Based on Grey Bootstrap Method[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2011,42(7):210-214,219.

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