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基于基因表達(dá)式編程算法的參考作物騰發(fā)量模擬計算
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國家自然科學(xué)基金資助項目(41171187、31100294)和中國科學(xué)院西部行動計劃資助項目(KZCX2—XB3—10)


Simulation of Reference Evapotranspiration Based on Gene-expression Programming Method
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    摘要:

    選取都安氣象站5年(2008—2012年)的逐日氣象數(shù)據(jù),包括日最高氣溫、最低氣溫、平均風(fēng)速、日照時數(shù)以及相對濕度5個氣象要素的不同組合作為輸入,并以FAO—56 Penman—Monteith法(FAO P—M)的計算結(jié)果作為標(biāo)準(zhǔn)值,采用基因表達(dá)式編程算法(GEP)及徑向基函數(shù)網(wǎng)絡(luò)算法(RBFNN)對參考作物騰發(fā)量ETo進(jìn)行模擬計算,并將模擬結(jié)果與Hargreaves模型的計算結(jié)果進(jìn)行比較,用決定系數(shù)R2和均方根誤差RMSE作為評價指標(biāo)。結(jié)果表明,GEP模型能夠捕捉到ETo的變化,具有較強(qiáng)的適用性,與FAO P—M公式的計算值有很高的一致性。引入關(guān)鍵氣象因子(氣溫和相對濕度)后,模型的決定系數(shù)R2達(dá)到0.914,均方根誤差RMSE為0.240mm/d。在相同輸入情況下GEP模型計算精度高于RBFNN模型和Hargreaves模型,并建立了可以替代Hargreaves模型的GEP模型及缺少相對濕度RH時的GEP模型。結(jié)果表明,在缺乏相關(guān)氣象因子時,可以利用GEP模型模擬ETo。

    Abstract:

    Reference evapotranspiration (ETo) is a major component of the hydrological cycle. Accurate assessment of evapotranspiration is needed for water resources management and irrigation scheduling. The performance ability of gene-expression programming (GEP) and radical basis function neural network (RBFNN) was investigated for modeling ETo in weather station of Du’an for a 5-year period (2008—2012). The data set was comprised of daily maximum temperature, minimum temperature,sunshine duration and relative humidity, which was employed for modeling ETo by using FAO—56 Penman—Monteith equation as reference. GEP results were compared with RBFNN and Hargreaves models, and their performances were evaluated through determination coefficient (R2) and root mean square error RMSE. Based on the comparisons, GEP was found to perform better than RBFNN and Hargreaves models. The GEP model which can replace Hargreaves model and the GEP model without relative humidity were established. Statistically, GEP is an effectual modeling tool for successfully computing reference evapotranspiration.

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王升,陳洪松,聶云鵬,付智勇,王克林,丁亞麗.基于基因表達(dá)式編程算法的參考作物騰發(fā)量模擬計算[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報,2015,46(4):106-112. Wang Sheng, Chen Hongsong, Nie Yunpeng, Fu Zhiyong, Wang Kelin, Ding Yali. Simulation of Reference Evapotranspiration Based on Gene-expression Programming Method[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2015,46(4):106-112.

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  • 收稿日期:2014-05-18
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2015-04-10
  • 出版日期: 2015-04-10
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