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三江平原近60年降水量時空變異特征分析
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國家自然科學基金資助項目(51109036、51179032)、黑龍江省自然科學基金資助項目(E2015024)、水利部公益性行業(yè)科研專項資助項目(201301096)、黑龍江省級領軍人才梯隊后備帶頭人資助項目(500001)、黑龍江省博士后科研啟動資金資助項目(LBH-Q12147)、東北農業(yè)大學SIPT計劃大學生創(chuàng)新訓練資助項目和東北農業(yè)大學研究生創(chuàng)新資助項目(yjscx14071、yjscx14070)


Spatiotemporal Variability Analysis of Annual Precipitation in Sanjiang Plain in Recent Sixty Years
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    摘要:

    采用趨勢分析法、Mann-Kendall突變分析法、小波分析法和時態(tài)GIS對三江平原1952—2012年間的61a降水量的時空變異特征進行分析。結果表明:時間上,5個主要行政區(qū)的降水量序列在時間整體上變化趨勢不明顯,而在時間序列內部存在不同突變趨勢,存在以28、22、15、6a 4個時段為主周期的波動狀態(tài);整個三江平原降水量序列在時間整體上變化趨勢也不明顯,但在時間序列內部表現出突變趨勢,即1955年開始呈下降趨勢,至1979年開始呈上升趨勢,到1997年又呈下降趨勢,存在與各行政分區(qū)主周期相同的波動狀態(tài)??臻g上,三江平原降水量空間分布變化趨勢表現出明顯的差異性,即1952—1954年從北到南呈現中間多兩端少的變化趨勢,而1955—1978年從北到南呈現兩端多中間少的變化趨勢,1979—2012年也呈現北多南少、東多西少的變化趨勢。5個主要行政區(qū)及三江平原1952—1954年和1997—2012年兩個時段內的多年平均降水量均少于1955—1996年間的多年平均降水量。

    Abstract:

    Trends analysis method, wavelet analysis, Mann-Kendall abrupt change test and temporal GIS were used to analyze the spatial distribution characteristics and temporal trends of precipitation based on the annual precipitation observed data from 1952 to 2012 in Sanjiang Plain. The analysis results showed that there was no obvious change trend during the whole time span with several internal variation trends for annual precipitation in five administrative areas, which meant that it existed four main periods of 28, 22, 15 and 6 years for annual precipitation series. For the whole series of precipitation in the Sanjiang Plain, there were no obvious change trends with the following internal variation trends, that was, there was a downward trend from 1955 to 1979, after then an upward trend until 1997, and then there was a downward trend in the remained annual precipitation series. There was an obvious spacial variation for precipitation. It showed that the precipitation in the middle of Sanjiang Plain was more than that in the two sides where from the north to the south during 1952 to 1954, while there was less precipitation in the middle than that in both sides where from the north to the south during 1955 to 1978, and then there was a trend of more precipitation in the north and east, and less precipitation in the south and west in Sanjiang Plain during 1979 to 2012. In addition, for both the whole Sanjiang Plain and each administrative area, the annual average precipitation amounts during 1952—1954 and 1997—2012 were more than that during 1955—1996.

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邢貞相,閆丹丹,劉美鑫,付 強,李映輝.三江平原近60年降水量時空變異特征分析[J].農業(yè)機械學報,2015,46(11):337-344. Xing Zhenxiang, Yan Dandan, Liu Meixin, Fu Qiang, Li Yinghui. Spatiotemporal Variability Analysis of Annual Precipitation in Sanjiang Plain in Recent Sixty Years[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2015,46(11):337-344.

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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2015-11-10
  • 出版日期: 2015-11-10