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陜西關(guān)中冬油菜生長(zhǎng)發(fā)育不同模型模擬精度研究
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陜西省重點(diǎn)研發(fā)計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目(2017ZDXM-NY-007)和陜西省科技統(tǒng)籌創(chuàng)新工程計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目(2016KTZDNY03-06)


Simulation Accuracy of Growth and Development of Winter Rape (Brassica napus L.) in Guanzhong Plain with Different Crop Models
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    在陜西關(guān)中地區(qū)進(jìn)行了連續(xù)6年(2009年9月—2015年5月)的冬油菜非充分灌溉試驗(yàn),利用STICS、DSSAT和APSIM 3種不同模型對(duì)冬油菜物候期和產(chǎn)量等進(jìn)行模擬,比較了3種不同模型的模擬精度。結(jié)果表明,3種模型中STICS模擬精度最高,平均RARE為3.24%,APSIM模型次之,平均RARE為8.79%,DSSAT模型最差,平均RARE為11.38%。其中STICS模型對(duì)物候期和產(chǎn)量的模擬精度均為最高,DSSAT模型對(duì)物候期的模擬精度高于APSIM模型,而APSIM模型對(duì)產(chǎn)量相關(guān)指標(biāo)的模擬精度高于DSSAT模型。由于2012—2013年生育期內(nèi)降水量較低,3種模型的模擬精度均較低,說(shuō)明3個(gè)模型對(duì)干旱脅迫條件下的作物生長(zhǎng)模擬均存在一定不足。綜合比較,STICS模型的模擬精度高于DSSAT和APSIM模型,因此推薦STICS模型為關(guān)中地區(qū)冬油菜生長(zhǎng)發(fā)育和產(chǎn)量形成模擬的適宜模型。

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    Crop growth simulation models provided convenience for agricultural production research. However, there were many differences among the models in some of their structures and process descriptions. Thus, different models might have different simulation accuracies in different regions. An insufficient irrigation experiment of winter rape (Brassica napus L.) was conducted for six consecutive years (2009-09—2015-05) in Guanzhong Plain in Shaanxi Province. And the STICS, DSSAT and APSIM models were used to simulate the phenology dates and yields of winter rape based on the experimental data to evaluate their simulation accuracies. The results showed that the simulation accuracy of STICS was the highest among the three models with average value of absolute relative error (RARE) of 3.24%;APSIM model ranked the second with average RARE of 8.79%;DSSAT model was the worst with average RARE of 11.38%. In addition, the simulation accuracy of STICS model was the highest in both phenology dates and yields of winter rape. The simulation accuracy of DSSAT model in phenology date was higher than that of APSIM model, while in yield the simulation accuracy of APSIM was higher than that of DSSAT model. However, the simulation accuracies of the three models were all low in the season of 2012—2013 due to the low precipitation, which meant that the three models were inadequate in the simulation of drought stress conditions. In general, the accuracy of the STICS model was higher than those of DSSAT and APSIM models. The STICS model was recommended for the simulation of winter rape growth in the Guanzhong Plain.

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毛鑫,楊建利,朱曉華,何川,馮浩,何建強(qiáng).陜西關(guān)中冬油菜生長(zhǎng)發(fā)育不同模型模擬精度研究[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2019,50(6):306-314. MAO Xin, YANG Jianli, ZHU Xiaohua, HE Chuan, FENG Hao, HE Jianqiang. Simulation Accuracy of Growth and Development of Winter Rape (Brassica napus L.) in Guanzhong Plain with Different Crop Models[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2019,50(6):306-314.

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  • 收稿日期:2018-12-01
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2019-06-10
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