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哺乳母豬舍環(huán)境舒適度評價預測模型優(yōu)化
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國家自然科學基金項目(31872399)、江蘇省農業(yè)科技自主創(chuàng)新資金項目(CX(16)1006)、江蘇大學優(yōu)勢學科工程建設項目(PAPD-2018-87)和江蘇省研究生科研與實踐創(chuàng)新計劃項目(KYCX18_2262)


Optimization of Evaluation and Prediction Model of Environmental Comfort in Lactating Sow House
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    摘要:

    針對母豬舍多環(huán)境因子相互耦合,難以合理、準確地預測判斷豬舍環(huán)境舒適度的問題,根據畜禽舍養(yǎng)殖環(huán)境標準,構建了評價指標體系,提出了基于變尺度混沌布谷鳥算法優(yōu)化混合核最小二乘支持向量回歸機的哺乳母豬舍環(huán)境舒適度評價預測模型(MSCCS-LSSVR),并采用粒子群算法優(yōu)化模型(PSO-LSSVR)、遺傳算法優(yōu)化模型(GA-LSSVR)、傳統(tǒng)的LSSVR模型與本文模型進行了對比。利用本文模型對江蘇省鎮(zhèn)江市?,斈翗I(yè)生豬養(yǎng)殖場哺乳母豬舍養(yǎng)殖環(huán)境舒適度進行了評價預測。結果表明,混合核MSCCS-LSSVR、PSO-LSSVR、GA-LSSVR和傳統(tǒng)LSSVR 4種預測模型的平均絕對誤差分別為0.0611、0.0972、0.1306和0.1681;混合核MSCCS-LSSVR模型比其他3種模型具有更高的預測精度和更可靠的性能,提高了豬舍環(huán)境評價預測水平,在評價預測中具有可行性和有效性。實際應用表明,本文模型能準確地反映豬舍空氣質量狀況,可以為豬舍環(huán)境精準調控提供決策支持,具有一定的應用價值。

    Abstract:

    As the sow building environment is a complex, nonlinear and timevarying system, consisting of multiple coupling factors, it is difficult to predict the environment comfort reasonably. Therefore, a prediction model was built to determine the variation trend of environment comfortable degree. The assessment index system was constructed, and the parameter optimization of the least squares support vector regression (LSSVR) with mixed kernels was presented based on mutative scale chaos cuckoo search (MSCCS) algorithm to find optimal parameters γ and σ. The model was exploited to predict the sow house environmental comfort. Three models of particle swarm optimization (PSO-LSSVR), genetic algorithm (GA-LSSVR) and traditional LSSVR were compared with the proposed prediction model. The experimental results showed that MSCCS-LSSVR had a higher accuracy and more reliable performance than the other three models, the mean absolute error (MAE) were 0.0611, 0.0972, 0.1306 and 0.1681, respectively. To facilitate the use of prediction model for farmers, a comfort assessment and prediction system graphical user interface (GUI) based on Matlab was developed. Farmers could download the historical data from a webserver and then exploit them as training and testing data, the assessment and prediction results at different time calculated and displayed on the GUI. A prediction model was exploited in Zhenjiang, Jiangsu Province, China, and it performed well. It can reflect the air quality reasonably and also provide decision support for precise regulation of a swine house environment. It can help farmers decrease the risk of livestock breeding. 

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陳沖,劉星橋,劉超吉,常潤民.哺乳母豬舍環(huán)境舒適度評價預測模型優(yōu)化[J].農業(yè)機械學報,2020,51(8):311-319. CHEN Chong, LIU Xingqiao, LIU Chaoji, CHANG Runmin. Optimization of Evaluation and Prediction Model of Environmental Comfort in Lactating Sow House[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2020,51(8):311-319.

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  • 收稿日期:2019-11-01
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2020-08-10
  • 出版日期: 2020-08-10