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不同播期和灌水條件下冬小麥生物量變化與產(chǎn)量模擬
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國家重點(diǎn)研發(fā)計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目(2016YFD0300201、2016YFD0300105)


Biomass Change and Yield Simulation of Winter Wheat under Different Sowing Dates and Irrigation Conditions
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    摘要:

    為了闡明播期和灌水對(duì)冬小麥生物量積累動(dòng)態(tài)特征的影響并實(shí)現(xiàn)不同播期與灌水條件下的產(chǎn)量模擬,在吳橋?qū)嶒?yàn)站2年(2017—2019年)播期水分大田試驗(yàn)基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合2011—2017年播期水分文獻(xiàn)資料,采用“小麥鐘”模型發(fā)育指數(shù)來定量模擬冬小麥的發(fā)育期,以Logistic模型定量模擬不同播期和水分處理對(duì)地上部生物量積累動(dòng)態(tài)的影響,并建立冬小麥生物量模型,進(jìn)而構(gòu)建冬小麥產(chǎn)量模型。結(jié)果表明,播期通過影響冬小麥生長(zhǎng)旺盛期來影響生物量積累;播期推遲,冬小麥生長(zhǎng)旺盛期縮短而使生物量減小。不同水分處理造成的地上部最大生物量的差異主要由生物量的最大積累速率決定,生物量最大積累速率隨灌水量的增大呈先增加后下降趨勢(shì)。基于冬前積溫和生長(zhǎng)季供水量建立冬小麥生物量與產(chǎn)量模型,冬小麥地上部生物量實(shí)測(cè)值和模擬值的均方根誤差(RMSE)和歸一化均方根誤差(NRMSE)分別為1980.2kg/hm2和15.7%,產(chǎn)量實(shí)測(cè)值和模擬值的RMSE和NRMSE分別為839.7kg/hm2和10.6%?;诎l(fā)育指數(shù)的Logistic模型能較好地模擬冬小麥的生物量積累,對(duì)不同播期與灌水條件下的產(chǎn)量具有較好的預(yù)測(cè)效果。足墑播種條件下,冬小麥適宜冬前積溫為200~600℃·d,生長(zhǎng)季適宜供水量為200~450mm。該研究為華北地區(qū)合理調(diào)控播期灌水措施提供了科學(xué)依據(jù),為不同播期與灌水條件下冬小麥產(chǎn)量預(yù)測(cè)提供了思路。

    Abstract:

    Understanding how different sowing dates and irrigation scheduling affect wheat dry matter accumulation was very helpful to improve grain yield and resource utilization efficiency. Field experiments with six-levels sowing dates and four-levels irrigation for winter wheat over two years were conducted during 2017—2019 in North China Plain in Hebei Province, China. Based on the two-year experiment, combined with the literature data of coupling irrigation with sowing dates of Wuqiao Experimental Station from 2011 to 2017. The development index of “wheat clock” model was used to quantitatively express the development phase of winter wheat. The effects of different sowing date and irrigation treatment on the dynamic characteristics of biomass accumulation were analyzed by Logistic mathematical model and establishment of biomass prediction model of winter wheat. Furthermore, winter wheat yield prediction model was established based on the biomass prediction model. The results showed that sowing date affected biomass accumulation by affecting rapid growth period of biomass accumulation. With the delay of sowing date, the rapid growth period was shortened, which made the biomass decreased. The difference of the maximum aboveground biomass caused by different irrigation treatment was mainly determined by the maximum growth rate of biomass, and the increase of irrigation amount helped to increase the maximum growth rate. The characteristics of biomass accumulation of winter wheat were different under different sowing date and irrigation treatments. According to the biomass and yield prediction model of winter wheat based on accumulated temperature before wintering and water supply amount in the growing season, the root mean square error (RMSE) and normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) of measured and simulated above-ground biomass of winter wheat were 1980.2kg/hm2 and 15.7%, respectively, and the RMSE and NRMSE of measured and simulated yield were 839.7kg/hm2 and 10.6%, respectively. Logistic model based on development index can well simulate the biomass accumulation of winter wheat, and had a good simulation accuracy on yield under different sowing dates and irrigation conditions. Under adequate soil moisture conditions before sowing, the appropriate accumulated temperature before wintering was ranged from 200℃·d to 600℃·d, and the appropriate water supply amount in winter wheat growing season was between 200mm and 450mm. The research result can provide scientific basis for the reasonable control of sowing date and irrigation measures in North China, and provide ideas for the prediction of winter wheat yield under different sowing dates and irrigation conditions.

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陳先冠,馮利平,馬雪晴,程陳,潘學(xué)標(biāo),王靖.不同播期和灌水條件下冬小麥生物量變化與產(chǎn)量模擬[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2021,52(10):349-357. CHEN Xianguan, FENG Liping, MA Xueqing, CHENG Chen, PAN Xuebiao, WANG Jing. Biomass Change and Yield Simulation of Winter Wheat under Different Sowing Dates and Irrigation Conditions[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2021,52(10):349-357.

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  • 收稿日期:2020-11-17
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2021-01-11
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