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人類活動(dòng)影響下安徽省植被指數(shù)時(shí)空變化分析
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國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(71971002)、安徽省重大專項(xiàng)(202003a06020016)和安徽省重點(diǎn)研發(fā)計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目(202004a07020050)


Spatio-temporal Variation of NDVI in Anhui Province under Influence of Human Activities
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    利用2006—2020年MODIS NDVI數(shù)據(jù)和2010年及2015年的國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值(GDP)、人口(POP)、土地覆蓋(Land Cover)空間分布數(shù)據(jù),分析了安徽省NDVI的時(shí)空變化規(guī)律及人類活動(dòng)對(duì)NDVI空間變異的影響。結(jié)果表明:2006—2020年安徽省NDVI在0.535~0.568之間波動(dòng),總體呈改善趨勢(shì),累積增長(zhǎng)率為6.23%;季節(jié)上年增長(zhǎng)率由大到小依次為秋季(0.0042a-1)、冬季(0.0036a-1)、夏季(0.0031a-1)和春季(0.0029a-1)。15年來(lái),安徽省NDVI明顯改善和輕微改善的區(qū)域面積占全省NDVI面積的69.17%,改善區(qū)域主要分布在長(zhǎng)江以南地區(qū);季節(jié)上,春季和冬季對(duì)NDVI改善的貢獻(xiàn)最大。安徽省NDVI呈現(xiàn)持續(xù)性改善的區(qū)域占42.36%,呈現(xiàn)持續(xù)性退化的區(qū)域占17.23%,退化區(qū)域主要分布在省會(huì)城市及其周邊經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展較快城市。2010年GDP、POP、Land Cover對(duì)NDVI的空間變異分布解釋力均在27%以上,2015年解釋力均在15%以上,可見(jiàn),GDP、POP、Land Cover對(duì)NDVI的空間分布均存在顯著的影響。安徽省2006—2020年NDVI在時(shí)間和空間上均呈不斷改善趨勢(shì),表明安徽省的綠色發(fā)展正在穩(wěn)步推進(jìn)。

    Abstract:

    Based on the data of MODIS and NDVI from 2006 to 2020 and the spatial distribution data of gross domestic product (GDP), population (POP) and Land Cover in 2010 and 2015, the temporal and spatial changes of NDVI in Anhui Province and the influence of human activities on the spatial variability of NDVI were analyzed. The results showed that from 2006 to 2020, the NDVI of Anhui Province fluctuated between 0.535 and 0.568, showing an overall improvement trend. Its cumulative growth rate was 6.23%. The seasonal growth rate from high to low was: autumn (0.0042a-1), winter (0.0036a-1),summer (0.0031a-1) and spring (0.0029a-1). In the past 15 years, 69.17% of the NDVI area in Anhui Province was significantly improved or slightly improved. The improvement areas were mainly distributed in the south of the Yangtze River. Spring and winter made the greatest contribution to the improvement of NDVI. The areas where NDVI showed continuous improvement accounted for 42.36%, and the areas showing continuous degradation accounted for 17.23%. The areas of degraded NDVI were mainly distributed in capital cities and the places with rapid economic development. In terms of the impact of human activities, the explanatory power of GDP, POP and Land Cover on the spatial variability distribution of NDVI in 2010 were all over 27%, and the explanatory power in 2015 was all over 15%. It can be seen that GDP, POP and Land Cover all had a significant impact on the spatial distribution of NDVI. From 2006 to 2020, the NDVI of Anhui Province showed a continuous improvement trend in temporal and spatial changes. It showed that the green development of Anhui Province was advancing steadily.

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魏圓圓,孫守剛,梁棟,賈兆紅.人類活動(dòng)影響下安徽省植被指數(shù)時(shí)空變化分析[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2022,53(8):203-212. WEI Yuanyuan, SUN Shougang, LIANG Dong, JIA Zhaohong. Spatio-temporal Variation of NDVI in Anhui Province under Influence of Human Activities[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2022,53(8):203-212.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-09-07
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2021-11-05
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