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考慮氣候分區(qū)的甘肅省干旱時(shí)空分布特征分析
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國家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(51969012)、甘肅省教育廳產(chǎn)業(yè)支撐計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目(2021CYZC-27、2021CYZC-33)、蘭州理工大學(xué)紅柳一流學(xué)科建設(shè)項(xiàng)目(0807J1)和濟(jì)南市水務(wù)科技項(xiàng)目(JNSWKJ202206)


Spatial and Temporal Distribution Characteristics of Drought in Gansu Province Considering Climate Zoning
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    摘要:

    甘肅省地處生態(tài)脆弱區(qū),氣候條件復(fù)雜,干旱發(fā)生概率高、范圍廣。為了更好地研究甘肅省干旱時(shí)空變化特征,綜合考慮甘肅省氣候類型和地理特征將其劃分為4個(gè)氣候分區(qū)(Ⅰ區(qū),河西大陸性氣候區(qū);Ⅱ區(qū),隴中北部季風(fēng)氣候區(qū);Ⅲ區(qū),隴南-隴中南部季風(fēng)氣候區(qū);Ⅳ區(qū),甘南高寒氣候區(qū)),并采用甘肅省26個(gè)國家氣象站點(diǎn)的氣象資料,計(jì)算其近60年(1960—2019年)的月、季和年尺度的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化降水蒸散指數(shù)(SPEI-1、SPEI-3、SPEI-12),結(jié)合氣候傾向率、Mann-Kendall突變檢驗(yàn)、空間插值等方法探討甘肅省近60年的干旱時(shí)空演變特征。結(jié)果表明:從時(shí)間變化角度看,不同時(shí)間尺度的SPEI均呈減小變化趨勢(shì),且隨時(shí)間尺度的增大,SPEI波動(dòng)幅度越?。辉谒募咀兓?,春、夏、秋季SPEI在甘肅省各氣候分區(qū)都呈現(xiàn)在波動(dòng)中下降的趨勢(shì),且下降趨勢(shì)明顯,表明干旱趨勢(shì)顯著,冬季SPEI在各氣候分區(qū)呈現(xiàn)在波動(dòng)中上升的趨勢(shì),表明有濕潤化的趨勢(shì)。從空間變化角度看,甘肅?、駞^(qū)呈干旱減緩趨勢(shì),Ⅱ區(qū)、Ⅲ區(qū)和Ⅳ區(qū)呈干旱加劇趨勢(shì),且春季各氣候分區(qū)干旱加劇趨勢(shì)明顯,夏、秋季次之,而冬季基本上都呈現(xiàn)干旱減緩趨勢(shì);甘肅省不同氣候分區(qū)不同等級(jí)干旱發(fā)生頻率分布差異大且不均衡,干旱頻率由小到大依次為:特旱、中旱、重旱、輕旱。

    Abstract:

    Gansu Province is located in an ecologically fragile area, with complex climate conditions, high probability and wide range of drought. In order to better study the temporal and spatial variation characteristics of drought in Gansu Province, it was divided into four climate zones according to the climate type and geographical characteristics: the continental climate area of Hexi (Region Ⅰ), the monsoon climate area in the northern of Longzhong (Region Ⅱ), the monsoon climate area of Longnan and the south of Longzhong (Region Ⅲ) and the alpine climate area of Gannan (Region Ⅳ). The meteorological data of 26 national meteorological stations in Gansu Province were used to calculate the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index on monthly, quarterly and annual scales(SPEI-1, SPEI-3 and SPEI-12)in the past 60 years (1960—2019). The spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of drought in Gansu Province in recent 60 years were discussed by means of climate tendency rate, Mann-Kendall〖JP〗 mutation test and spatial interpolation. The results showed that the SPEI values of different time scales showed a decreasing trend from the perspective of time process, and the fluctuation range of SPEI values was smaller as the time scale was increased. For seasonal factor, in spring, summer and autumn, the SPEI values showed a downward trend in fluctuations in all climate regions of Gansu Province. And the downward trend was obvious, indicating a significant drying trend. In winter, the SPEI values showed a rising trend in fluctuations in various climate regions, indicating a trend of wetting. Spatially, it showed a humid trend in Region Ⅰ of Gansu Province, but it was dire in Region Ⅱ, Ⅲ and Ⅳ of Gansu Province. And in spring, the drought in various climate regions of Gansu Province had an obvious trend of aggravation, followed by summer and autumn, while in winter, the drought was basically slowed down. The frequency of occurrence of different levels of drought in different climate regions of Gansu Province was very different and uneven, and the drought frequency from smallest to largest was extreme drought, moderate drought, heavy drought and mild drought.

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鄭健,鮑婷婷,王春霞,趙雨露,陳婭,王燕.考慮氣候分區(qū)的甘肅省干旱時(shí)空分布特征分析[J].農(nóng)業(yè)機(jī)械學(xué)報(bào),2023,54(2):311-320. ZHENG Jian, BAO Tingting, WANG Chunxia, ZHAO Yulu, CHEN Ya, WANG Yan. Spatial and Temporal Distribution Characteristics of Drought in Gansu Province Considering Climate Zoning[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society for Agricultural Machinery,2023,54(2):311-320.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-11-08
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  • 在線發(fā)布日期: 2022-12-20
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